18/02/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Sansepolcro vs Seravezza Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No Pick
52%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
37%
4-5
28%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 52% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
48%
Home Win
61%
25%
Draw
23%
27%
Away Win
16%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sansepolcro v Seravezza — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Sansepolcro
The Market 65%
Head to Head
AWAY
Seravezza
The Market 19%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
59%
Ball Possession
41%
15
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
425 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
262 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Sansepolcro vs Seravezza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Sansepolcro edged past Seravezza 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sansepolcro as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
What was the final score of Sansepolcro vs Seravezza?
Sansepolcro 1-0 Seravezza in the Italy - Serie D on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sansepolcro vs Seravezza?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sansepolcro win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sansepolcro 48%, draw 25%, Seravezza 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sansepolcro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Sansepolcro)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İTD
More Italy - Serie D
18 Feb 2024