Vastogirardi 0-1 Real Monterotondo Scalo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
36%
4-5
23%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vastogirardi The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Monterotondo Scalo The Market 38%
-52% / -52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +55% / +55%
0.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/2.00
-100% / -65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -42%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vastogirardi
0-1
AWAY Real Monterotondo Scalo
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Vastogirardi vs Real Monterotondo Scalo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Monterotondo Scalo edged past Vastogirardi 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Vastogirardi at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Vastogirardi had 58% of the ball to Real Monterotondo Scalo's 42%, shots finished 8-8.

What was the final score of Vastogirardi vs Real Monterotondo Scalo?

Vastogirardi 0-1 Real Monterotondo Scalo in the Italy - Serie D on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vastogirardi vs Real Monterotondo Scalo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vastogirardi win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vastogirardi 43%, draw 25%, Real Monterotondo Scalo 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Vastogirardi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vastogirardi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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