Racing Club Montevideo 2-2 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 18 Feb 2024

Racing Club Montevideo
2-2 HT 1-0
Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
📅18/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Uruguay - Premier League – 2024

Racing Club Montevideo vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+1.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.4pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Racing Club Montevideo v Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 45%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
0.83/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.99
-29% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
246 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8

Racing Club Montevideo vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
19.11.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-3 HT 1-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
02.06.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 3-2 HT 0-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
15.04.2023 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 1-1 HT 0-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
07.11.2019 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-2 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
18.10.2015 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 3-1 HT 2-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
09.03.2014 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-2 HT 0-1 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU

Racing Club Montevideo 2-2 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
2-2
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Racing Club Montevideo vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club Montevideo and Liverpool FC (Montevideo) couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Liverpool FC (Montevideo) at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Racing Club Montevideo had 40% of the ball to Liverpool FC (Montevideo)'s 60%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Racing Club Montevideo and 1.83 for Liverpool FC (Montevideo).

What was the final score of Racing Club Montevideo vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Racing Club Montevideo 2-2 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) in the Uruguay - Premier League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Club Montevideo vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Racing Club Montevideo 32%, draw 27%, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 41%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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