Morecambe 0-1 Doncaster Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 18 Feb 2025

Morecambe
0-1 HT 0-1
Doncaster Rovers
📅18/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Morecambe vs Doncaster Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
45%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.85
6+ Goals
10%
17.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.64
1/2
9%
26.5
1/X
6%
14.75
X/1
10%
7.13
X/2
20%
4.51
X/X
10%
4.42
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
17%
2.8
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.9
Value flag · 2/X at 13.9 — our 11% vs market 4.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 52% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
45%
Away Win
46%
-0.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Morecambe v Doncaster Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Morecambe EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 50%
+5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +33%
1.28/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.91
+17% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / +61%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
215 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 72%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
20.4 Crosses 14.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

Morecambe vs Doncaster Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Morecambe
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.63 xG 1.57
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
241 Passes 258
69% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.08.2024 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 Morecambe Morecambe İN2
06.04.2024 Morecambe Morecambe 0-3 HT 0-2 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
16.12.2023 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 0-5 HT 0-2 Morecambe Morecambe İN2
02.01.2022 Morecambe Morecambe 4-3 HT 0-3 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN1
18.09.2021 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Morecambe Morecambe İN1
04.02.2017 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 1-1 HT 0-1 Morecambe Morecambe İN2

Morecambe 0-1 Doncaster Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Morecambe
0-1
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
0.62 xG 1.53
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 9
228 Passes 140
63% Pass Accuracy 52%
26 Box Touches 25
29 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Morecambe vs Doncaster Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Doncaster Rovers nicked a narrow win over Morecambe 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Doncaster Rovers as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Morecambe had 58% of the ball to Doncaster Rovers's 42%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 0.62 to 1.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Doncaster Rovers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Morecambe and 1.50 for Doncaster Rovers.

What was the final score of Morecambe vs Doncaster Rovers?

Morecambe 0-1 Doncaster Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 18/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Morecambe vs Doncaster Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Doncaster Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Morecambe 27%, draw 27%, Doncaster Rovers 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Doncaster Rovers), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5
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