Doncaster Rovers 1-0 Morecambe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 24 Aug 2024

Doncaster Rovers
1-0 HT 1-0
Morecambe
📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Doncaster Rovers vs Morecambe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home OUR CALL
54%
1.49
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
23%
3.75
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.24
6+ Goals
12%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.75 — our 23% vs market 21.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.85
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.7
X/1
18%
3.68
X/2
9%
12.5
X/X
9%
5.75
2/1
7%
23.15
2/2
8%
9.99
2/X
6%
17.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Doncaster Rovers win — 54% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
62%
-8.2pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.4pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Doncaster Rovers v Morecambe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Morecambe EU Bookmakers 19%
-1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
1.65/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.72
+16% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
370 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 68%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
29.8 Crosses 14.6
0.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

Doncaster Rovers vs Morecambe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Doncaster Rovers
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Morecambe
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.48 xG 1.94
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
236 Passes 249
66% Pass Accuracy 69%
19 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.04.2024 Morecambe Morecambe 0-3 HT 0-2 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
16.12.2023 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 0-5 HT 0-2 Morecambe Morecambe İN2
02.01.2022 Morecambe Morecambe 4-3 HT 0-3 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN1
18.09.2021 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Morecambe Morecambe İN1
04.02.2017 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 1-1 HT 0-1 Morecambe Morecambe İN2
10.09.2016 Morecambe Morecambe 1-5 HT 1-2 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2

Doncaster Rovers 1-0 Morecambe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Doncaster Rovers
1-0
AWAY Morecambe
1.94 xG 0.39
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
344 Passes 208
78% Pass Accuracy 69%
29 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Doncaster Rovers vs Morecambe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Doncaster Rovers squeezed past Morecambe 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Doncaster Rovers as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Doncaster Rovers had 59% of the ball to Morecambe's 41%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.94 to 0.39 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Doncaster Rovers's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Doncaster Rovers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Doncaster Rovers and 1.83 for Morecambe.

What was the final score of Doncaster Rovers vs Morecambe?

Doncaster Rovers 1-0 Morecambe in the England - 2nd Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Doncaster Rovers vs Morecambe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Doncaster Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Doncaster Rovers 54%, draw 22%, Morecambe 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Doncaster Rovers), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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