FK Rodina Moskva 1-0 Kuban Krasnodar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 18 Mar 2024

📅18/03/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.47
Draw
31%
3.94
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.8
Over 2.5
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
64%
-14.1pp
31%
Draw
22%
+9.1pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+5.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.3pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Rodina Moskva EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Kuban Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 17%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +3%
2.22/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.59
+31% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
333 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Rodina Moskva
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Kuban Krasnodar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.10.2023 Kuban Krasnodar Kuban Krasnodar 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
21.05.2023 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 2-2 HT 1-1 Kuban Krasnodar Kuban Krasnodar RUS1
29.10.2022 Kuban Krasnodar Kuban Krasnodar 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Rodina Moskva
1-0
AWAY Kuban Krasnodar
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FK Rodina Moskva vs Kuban Krasnodar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Rodina Moskva edged past Kuban Krasnodar 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had FK Rodina Moskva as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FK Rodina Moskva had 60% of the ball to Kuban Krasnodar's 40%, shots finished 22-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FK Rodina Moskva and 1.00 for Kuban Krasnodar.

What was the final score of FK Rodina Moskva vs Kuban Krasnodar?

FK Rodina Moskva 1-0 Kuban Krasnodar in the Russia - FNL on 18/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Rodina Moskva vs Kuban Krasnodar?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Rodina Moskva win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split FK Rodina Moskva 50%, draw 31%, Kuban Krasnodar 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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