Al Sharjah 1-3 Shabab Al Ahli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League Cup, 18 Mar 2025

📅18/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
48%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.52
Over 2.5
48%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.22
2-3 Goals
46%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
4.87
6+ Goals
10%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
20%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
30%
-6.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
48%
Away Win
41%
+7.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
62%
-9.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
38%
+9.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.9pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Sharjah EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Shabab Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 45%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.89/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.12/1.42
+0% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +91% / -53%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
10.0 Crosses 9.2
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Sharjah
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Shabab Al Ahli
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.78 xG 1.72
42% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
176 Passes 411
68% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 20
8 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.03.2025 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 1-1 HT 1-0 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli AFCŞL2
05.03.2025 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah AFCŞL2
03.04.2024 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 3-4 HT 1-1 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli BAECK
29.12.2023 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli 6-2 HT 3-2 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAESK
16.01.2022 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 0-0 HT 0-0 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli BAECK
14.09.2019 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 0-0 HT 0-0 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli BAESK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Sharjah
1-3
AWAY Shabab Al Ahli
1.30 xG 1.26
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
306 Passes 293
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Sharjah vs Shabab Al Ahli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shabab Al Ahli saw off Al Sharjah 3-1 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shabab Al Ahli as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Al Sharjah had 52% of the ball to Shabab Al Ahli's 48%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.30 to 1.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shabab Al Ahli led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Sharjah and 2.00 for Shabab Al Ahli.

What was the final score of Al Sharjah vs Shabab Al Ahli?

Al Sharjah 1-3 Shabab Al Ahli in the UAE - League Cup on 18/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Sharjah vs Shabab Al Ahli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shabab Al Ahli win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Sharjah 23%, draw 29%, Shabab Al Ahli 48%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shabab Al Ahli), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shabab Al Ahli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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