Indy Eleven 3-0 Des Moines Menace — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 18 Mar 2026

📅18/03/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
16%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
61%
-1.6pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.8pp
16%
Away Win
18%
-2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.5pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Indy Eleven EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Des Moines Menace EU Bookmakers 21%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-30% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
418 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.1 Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Indy Eleven
3-0
AWAY Des Moines Menace
40% Ball Possession 60%
24 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
195 Passes 344
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
POST-MATCH Indy Eleven vs Des Moines Menace
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Indy Eleven swept aside Des Moines Menace 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Indy Eleven as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Indy Eleven had 40% of the ball to Des Moines Menace's 60%, shots finished 24-17.

What was the final score of Indy Eleven vs Des Moines Menace?

Indy Eleven 3-0 Des Moines Menace in the USA - Open Cup on 18/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Indy Eleven vs Des Moines Menace?

Before kick-off our model rated a Indy Eleven win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 60%, draw 24%, Des Moines Menace 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Indy Eleven) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Indy Eleven) ✗ Under 2.5
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