Vermont Green vs Portland Hearts of Pine Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vermont Green v Portland Hearts of Pine — Team-Based Signals
Vermont Green 1-0 Portland Hearts of Pine — Actual Match Statistics
Vermont Green edged past Portland Hearts of Pine 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Vermont Green made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Vermont Green had 39% of the ball to Portland Hearts of Pine's 61%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 2.18 to 0.53 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Vermont Green's control.
What was the final score of Vermont Green vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
Vermont Green 1-0 Portland Hearts of Pine in the USA - Open Cup on 18/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vermont Green vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
Before kick-off our model rated an Portland Hearts of Pine win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vermont Green 33%, draw 26%, Portland Hearts of Pine 40%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.