Rhode Island 4-0 Faialense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 18 Mar 2026

📅18/03/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.11
Draw
14%
8.11
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.94
Over 2.5
65%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
2.09
No
42%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
85%
-13.3pp
14%
Draw
9%
+5.3pp
14%
Away Win
6%
+7.9pp
35%
Under 2.5
22%
+12.9pp
65%
Over 2.5
78%
-12.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
44%
+14.3pp
42%
BTTS No
56%
-14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rhode Island EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Faialense EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
64% Ball Possession 36%
21 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
556 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rhode Island
4-0
AWAY Faialense
2.76 xG 0.28
74% Ball Possession 26%
26 Total Shots 7
12 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
606 Passes 142
90% Pass Accuracy 63%
52 Box Touches 9
14 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rhode Island vs Faialense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rhode Island swept aside Faialense 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rhode Island as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (65%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Rhode Island had 74% of the ball to Faialense's 26%, shots finished 26-7, expected goals 2.76 to 0.28.

What was the final score of Rhode Island vs Faialense?

Rhode Island 4-0 Faialense in the USA - Open Cup on 18/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rhode Island vs Faialense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rhode Island win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Rhode Island 72%, draw 14%, Faialense 14%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rhode Island), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rhode Island) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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