Richmond Kickers vs Northern Virginia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Richmond Kickers v Northern Virginia — Team-Based Signals
Richmond Kickers 2-0 Northern Virginia — Actual Match Statistics
Richmond Kickers got the better of Northern Virginia 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Richmond Kickers as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Richmond Kickers had 40% of the ball to Northern Virginia's 60%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.29 to 0.96.
What was the final score of Richmond Kickers vs Northern Virginia?
Richmond Kickers 2-0 Northern Virginia in the USA - Open Cup on 18/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Richmond Kickers vs Northern Virginia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Richmond Kickers win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Richmond Kickers 52%, draw 23%, Northern Virginia 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Richmond Kickers) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.