Lietava Jonava 2-2 Be1 NFA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 18 Mar 2026

📅18/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
42%
Away Win
42%
-0.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.0pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lietava Jonava EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Be1 NFA EU Bookmakers 46%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.71/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/0.98
-46% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
273 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lietava Jonava
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Be1 NFA
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
34% Ball Possession 66%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2025 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava 2-1 HT 1-0 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
28.03.2025 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 0-0 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava LIT1
27.10.2023 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 4-1 HT 2-1 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava LIT1
09.06.2023 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava 1-5 HT 1-2 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lietava Jonava
2-2
AWAY Be1 NFA
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lietava Jonava vs Be1 NFA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lietava Jonava and Be1 NFA couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Be1 NFA at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Lietava Jonava had 45% of the ball to Be1 NFA's 55%, shots finished 8-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Be1 NFA led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lietava Jonava and 2.50 for Be1 NFA.

What was the final score of Lietava Jonava vs Be1 NFA?

Lietava Jonava 2-2 Be1 NFA in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 18/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lietava Jonava vs Be1 NFA?

Before kick-off our model rated an Be1 NFA win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lietava Jonava 34%, draw 24%, Be1 NFA 42%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Be1 NFA) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Be1 NFA) ✓ BTTS Yes
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