Atmosfera 2-1 Kauno Zalgiris II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 18 Mar 2026

📅18/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.45
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.66
No
39%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-9.9pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.2pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.7pp
61%
BTTS Yes
56%
+5.1pp
39%
BTTS No
44%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 19%
-18% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -6%
2.11/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/2.41
+15% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -29%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
425 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atmosfera
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.07.2025 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 1-3 HT 0-2 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
07.03.2025 Atmosfera Atmosfera 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
28.09.2024 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 1-1 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atmosfera
2-1
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Atmosfera vs Kauno Zalgiris II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atmosfera edged past Kauno Zalgiris II 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atmosfera as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Atmosfera had 49% of the ball to Kauno Zalgiris II's 51%, shots finished 8-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Atmosfera had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Atmosfera and 0.67 for Kauno Zalgiris II.

What was the final score of Atmosfera vs Kauno Zalgiris II?

Atmosfera 2-1 Kauno Zalgiris II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 18/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atmosfera vs Kauno Zalgiris II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atmosfera win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Atmosfera 55%, draw 24%, Kauno Zalgiris II 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atmosfera), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atmosfera) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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