Kauno Zalgiris II 1-3 Atmosfera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 22 Jul 2025

📅22/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
15%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
5%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.0pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-5.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.9pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 49%
+10% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.73/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/0.64
+32% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +89%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
258 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Atmosfera
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2025 Atmosfera Atmosfera 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
28.09.2024 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 1-1 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
1-3
AWAY Atmosfera
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris II vs Atmosfera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atmosfera got the better of Kauno Zalgiris II 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Atmosfera found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris II had 46% of the ball to Atmosfera's 54%, shots finished 11-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Atmosfera led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kauno Zalgiris II and 1.00 for Atmosfera.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris II vs Atmosfera?

Kauno Zalgiris II 1-3 Atmosfera in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 22/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris II vs Atmosfera?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atmosfera win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris II 33%, draw 28%, Atmosfera 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atmosfera) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atmosfera)
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