FA Siauliai II 2-3 Neptüna Klaipeda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 22 Jul 2025

📅22/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
3.5
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
60%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
3%
X/1
6%
X/2
33%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
25%
-5.7pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.9pp
59%
Away Win
55%
+4.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.1pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FA Siauliai II EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda EU Bookmakers 59%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -16%
1.93/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/1.46
+61% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -33%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
275 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 437 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FA Siauliai II
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.03.2025 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 5-1 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
23.08.2024 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 2-1 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
29.03.2024 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 1-2 HT 0-1 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
20.08.2023 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 3-0 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
02.04.2023 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 1-1 HT 0-1 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
21.10.2022 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 3-1 HT 2-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FA Siauliai II
2-3
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FA Siauliai II vs Neptüna Klaipeda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neptüna Klaipeda squeezed past FA Siauliai II 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Neptüna Klaipeda as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, FA Siauliai II had 43% of the ball to Neptüna Klaipeda's 57%, shots finished 11-22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neptüna Klaipeda led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FA Siauliai II and 2.67 for Neptüna Klaipeda.

What was the final score of FA Siauliai II vs Neptüna Klaipeda?

FA Siauliai II 2-3 Neptüna Klaipeda in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 22/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FA Siauliai II vs Neptüna Klaipeda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neptüna Klaipeda win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split FA Siauliai II 19%, draw 21%, Neptüna Klaipeda 59%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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