Minija 0-1 Babrungas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 22 Jul 2025

📅22/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
47%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+1.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-2.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.5pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minija EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Babrungas EU Bookmakers 53%
+26% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.30/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/0.98
+7% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
292 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minija
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Babrungas
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
39% Ball Possession 61%
4 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2025 Babrungas Babrungas 1-0 Minija Minija LIT1
14.09.2024 Minija Minija 0-4 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
26.04.2024 Babrungas Babrungas 0-0 HT 0-0 Minija Minija LIT1
04.11.2023 Minija Minija 1-3 HT 1-2 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
23.06.2023 Babrungas Babrungas 1-1 Minija Minija LIT1
29.10.2022 Minija Minija 1-1 HT 0-1 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Minija
0-1
AWAY Babrungas
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Minija vs Babrungas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Babrungas squeezed past Minija 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Babrungas as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Minija had 45% of the ball to Babrungas's 55%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Babrungas led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Minija and 1.67 for Babrungas.

What was the final score of Minija vs Babrungas?

Minija 0-1 Babrungas in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 22/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minija vs Babrungas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Babrungas win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Minija 28%, draw 26%, Babrungas 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Babrungas) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Babrungas) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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