Minija 3-0 Hegelmann II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 18 Mar 2026

📅18/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.27
Draw
17%
5.15
Away
11%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
75%
-2.6pp
17%
Draw
17%
-0.0pp
11%
Away Win
9%
+2.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minija EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann II EU Bookmakers 11%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.68/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/2.45
-24% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -15%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
443 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 200 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minija
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Hegelmann II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.09.2025 Minija Minija 2-0 HT 1-0 Hegelmann II LIT1
18.05.2025 Hegelmann II 0-1 HT 0-1 Minija Minija LIT1
20.10.2024 Hegelmann II 1-0 Minija Minija LIT1
01.06.2024 Minija Minija 3-2 HT 2-0 Hegelmann II LIT1
POST-MATCH Minija vs Hegelmann II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minija ran out comfortable winners over Hegelmann II 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Minija as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Minija had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Minija and 0.75 for Hegelmann II.

What was the final score of Minija vs Hegelmann II?

Minija 3-0 Hegelmann II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 18/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minija vs Hegelmann II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Minija win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Minija 72%, draw 17%, Hegelmann II 11%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Minija), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Minija) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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