Kalisz 1-1 Stal Stalowa Wola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 18 Mar 2026

📅18/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.29
Draw
38%
3.35
Away
38%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.81
No
37%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.85
2-3 Goals
46%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.64
6+ Goals
10%
15.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
10%
X/X
24%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
27%
-3.2pp
38%
Draw
26%
+11.3pp
39%
Away Win
47%
-8.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.5pp
63%
BTTS Yes
51%
+12.0pp
37%
BTTS No
49%
-12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalisz EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Stal Stalowa Wola EU Bookmakers 50%
-24% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.99/2.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.84
-22% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +55%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
264 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalisz
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Stal Stalowa Wola
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.08.2025 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola 1-0 HT 1-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
01.06.2024 Kalisz Kalisz 1-2 HT 1-0 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola POL2
17.03.2024 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola 0-1 HT 0-1 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
02.09.2023 Kalisz Kalisz 1-0 HT 0-0 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola POL2
POST-MATCH Kalisz vs Stal Stalowa Wola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kalisz and Stal Stalowa Wola couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (24% / 38% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Kalisz and 0.75 for Stal Stalowa Wola.

What was the final score of Kalisz vs Stal Stalowa Wola?

Kalisz 1-1 Stal Stalowa Wola in the Poland - 2nd Division on 18/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalisz vs Stal Stalowa Wola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stal Stalowa Wola win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kalisz 24%, draw 38%, Stal Stalowa Wola 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stal Stalowa Wola) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stal Stalowa Wola) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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