União de Leiria U23 1-2 Maritimo U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 18 Mar 2026

📅18/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
1.9
Over 2.5
62%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
1.7
No
32%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.0pp
38%
Under 2.5
49%
-10.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
51%
+10.6pp
68%
BTTS Yes
55%
+13.5pp
32%
BTTS No
45%
-13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME União de Leiria U23 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Maritimo U23 EU Bookmakers 34%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+55% / -57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
305 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME União de Leiria U23
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Maritimo U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.01.2026 Maritimo U23 Maritimo U23 1-1 HT 0-1 União de Leiria U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME União de Leiria U23
1-2
AWAY Maritimo U23
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH União de Leiria U23 vs Maritimo U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maritimo U23 nicked a narrow win over União de Leiria U23 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Maritimo U23 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (68%) came in.

On the day, União de Leiria U23 had 52% of the ball to Maritimo U23's 48%, shots finished 12-11.

What was the final score of União de Leiria U23 vs Maritimo U23?

União de Leiria U23 1-2 Maritimo U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 18/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for União de Leiria U23 vs Maritimo U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a União de Leiria U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split União de Leiria U23 40%, draw 26%, Maritimo U23 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (União de Leiria U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (União de Leiria U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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