Rio Ave U23 3-2 Gil Vicente U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 18 Mar 2026

📅18/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
42%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.2pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.3pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+3.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.9pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 43%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
2.11/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/2.52
+45% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -38%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
236 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rio Ave U23
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Gil Vicente U23
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.01.2026 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 2-0 HT 0-0 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 PORU23
16.12.2025 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 2-2 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 UŞGA
01.10.2025 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 1-1 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 UŞGA
18.12.2024 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 0-3 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 UŞGA
02.10.2024 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 1-1 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 UŞGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rio Ave U23
3-2
AWAY Gil Vicente U23
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rio Ave U23 vs Gil Vicente U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rio Ave U23 edged past Gil Vicente U23 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 21% / 42%) promised a tight game; Rio Ave U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Rio Ave U23 had 53% of the ball to Gil Vicente U23's 47%, shots finished 18-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Gil Vicente U23 led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Rio Ave U23 and 1.80 for Gil Vicente U23.

What was the final score of Rio Ave U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Rio Ave U23 3-2 Gil Vicente U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 18/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rio Ave U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gil Vicente U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rio Ave U23 37%, draw 21%, Gil Vicente U23 42%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gil Vicente U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gil Vicente U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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