Vizela U23 1-1 Estrela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 18 Mar 2026

📅18/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+3.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.0pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vizela U23 EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 39%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.38/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.99
-12% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +50%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
302 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vizela U23
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Estrela U23
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.01.2026 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 4-0 HT 1-0 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 PORU23
04.03.2025 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 6-0 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 PORU23
06.01.2025 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 4-2 HT 0-2 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 PORU23
02.04.2024 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 2-3 HT 1-1 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 PORU23
30.01.2024 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 1-1 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vizela U23
1-1
AWAY Estrela U23
64% Ball Possession 36%
11 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vizela U23 vs Estrela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vizela U23 and Estrela U23 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Vizela U23 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Vizela U23 had 64% of the ball to Estrela U23's 36%, shots finished 11-5.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Vizela U23 and 2.20 for Estrela U23.

What was the final score of Vizela U23 vs Estrela U23?

Vizela U23 1-1 Estrela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 18/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vizela U23 vs Estrela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vizela U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vizela U23 41%, draw 24%, Estrela U23 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vizela U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vizela U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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