JEF United (K) 0-2 Cerezo Osaka (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 18 Apr 2024

📅18/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.19
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
22%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
41%
-7.5pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.0pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+6.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.4pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JEF United (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -52% / -52%
1.35/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+33% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -46%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JEF United (K)
0-2
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K)
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH JEF United (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerezo Osaka (K) got the better of JEF United (K) 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 35% — and on the day Cerezo Osaka (K) made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, JEF United (K) had 50% of the ball to Cerezo Osaka (K)'s 50%, shots finished 16-8.

What was the final score of JEF United (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)?

JEF United (K) 0-2 Cerezo Osaka (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JEF United (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerezo Osaka (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split JEF United (K) 34%, draw 31%, Cerezo Osaka (K) 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerezo Osaka (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cerezo Osaka (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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