Dagenham & Redbridge 1-0 Ebbsfleet United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.03
Over 2.5
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.66
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.09
6+ Goals
9%
10.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.66 — our 31% vs market 21.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.08
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
15.0
X/1
14%
4.2
X/2
9%
10.35
X/X
10%
5.73
2/1
10%
21.9
2/2
11%
8.15
2/X
9%
16.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
57%
-11.9pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.1pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.8pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 22%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -12%
1.74/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/2.22
-1% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -30%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
82 · 96% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 64 · 93%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
1 Passes 0
3 Yellow Cards 1
01.01.2025 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 0-2 HT 0-0 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
01.04.2024 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 1-1 HT 0-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
28.10.2023 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 0-1 HT 0-0 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
19.12.2020 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 5-2 HT 3-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United FAK
01.01.2020 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-1 HT 1-0 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
26.12.2019 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 1-1 HT 0-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge
1-0
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
0 Passes 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dagenham & Redbridge vs Ebbsfleet United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dagenham & Redbridge squeezed past Ebbsfleet United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dagenham & Redbridge as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Dagenham & Redbridge had 48% of the ball to Ebbsfleet United's 52%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dagenham & Redbridge had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Dagenham & Redbridge and 0.83 for Ebbsfleet United.

What was the final score of Dagenham & Redbridge vs Ebbsfleet United?

Dagenham & Redbridge 1-0 Ebbsfleet United in the England - National League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dagenham & Redbridge vs Ebbsfleet United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dagenham & Redbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Dagenham & Redbridge 45%, draw 28%, Ebbsfleet United 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dagenham & Redbridge), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dagenham & Redbridge) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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