Marine 1-0 Warrington Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.86
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.77
6+ Goals
9%
16.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-6.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+8.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.9pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marine EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Warrington Town EU Bookmakers 25%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
1.74/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.87
-1% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
349 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marine
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Warrington Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 6
01.01.2025 Warrington Town Warrington Town 0-2 HT 0-2 Marine Marine İCON
10.04.2023 Marine Marine 1-2 HT 0-0 Warrington Town Warrington Town İNGNLP
26.12.2022 Warrington Town Warrington Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Marine Marine İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marine
1-0
AWAY Warrington Town
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 1
6 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Marine vs Warrington Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marine squeezed past Warrington Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Marine as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Marine had 57% of the ball to Warrington Town's 43%, shots finished 18-1.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Marine and 0.67 for Warrington Town.

What was the final score of Marine vs Warrington Town?

Marine 1-0 Warrington Town in the England - Conference on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marine vs Warrington Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marine win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Marine 46%, draw 24%, Warrington Town 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marine) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marine) ✗ BTTS Yes
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