Birmingham 0-0 Crawley Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
65%
1.25
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
37%
2.63
Over
63%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.9
No
44%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
17%
5.8
2-3
39%
2.05
4-5
27%
2.48
6+
17%
5.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Birmingham win — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
76%
-10.3pp
19%
Draw
16%
+3.5pp
15%
Away Win
8%
+6.7pp
37%
Under 2.5
34%
+2.2pp
63%
Over 2.5
66%
-2.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.8pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birmingham EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Crawley Town EU Bookmakers 11%
+9% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
2.14/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.80
+4% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -22%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
462 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 71%
31.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
26.9 Crosses 12.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birmingham
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Crawley Town
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.80 xG 0.22
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
368 Passes 185
80% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 9
16 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.12.2024 Crawley Town Crawley Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Birmingham Birmingham İN1
08.08.2017 Birmingham Birmingham 5-1 HT 3-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İNLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birmingham
0-0
AWAY Crawley Town
2.19 xG 0.84
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
425 Passes 274
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
39 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Birmingham vs Crawley Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birmingham and Crawley Town fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Birmingham carried 65% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Birmingham had 59% of the ball to Crawley Town's 41%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 2.19 to 0.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Birmingham had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Birmingham and 0.50 for Crawley Town.

What was the final score of Birmingham vs Crawley Town?

Birmingham 0-0 Crawley Town in the England - 1st Division on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birmingham vs Crawley Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birmingham win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Birmingham 65%, draw 19%, Crawley Town 15%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Birmingham) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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