Etoile Carouge 0-2 FC Schaffhausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
27%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.88
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
2.97
6+ Goals
11%
9.33
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 27% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
63%
-12.6pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.9pp
27%
Away Win
16%
+10.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etoile Carouge EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Schaffhausen EU Bookmakers 19%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.30/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.79
-17% / +96% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
366 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
15.1 Crosses 15.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etoile Carouge
2W-1D-0L
AWAY FC Schaffhausen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.94 xG 0.88
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
471 Passes 337
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.02.2025 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 0-0 HT 0-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV2
08.12.2024 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
19.07.2024 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 2-3 HT 1-2 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Etoile Carouge
0-2
AWAY FC Schaffhausen
1.17 xG 1.59
73% Ball Possession 27%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
462 Passes 126
87% Pass Accuracy 66%
23 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 14
7 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Etoile Carouge vs FC Schaffhausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Schaffhausen got the better of Etoile Carouge 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Etoile Carouge at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Etoile Carouge had 73% of the ball to FC Schaffhausen's 27%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.17 to 1.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Etoile Carouge had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Etoile Carouge and 0.67 for FC Schaffhausen.

What was the final score of Etoile Carouge vs FC Schaffhausen?

Etoile Carouge 0-2 FC Schaffhausen in the Switzerland Challenge League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etoile Carouge vs FC Schaffhausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Etoile Carouge win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Etoile Carouge 50%, draw 23%, FC Schaffhausen 27%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Etoile Carouge), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Etoile Carouge) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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