Aarau vs Vaduz Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aarau v Vaduz — Team-Based Signals
Aarau vs Vaduz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-2
Aarau
İSV2
Aarau 2-2 Vaduz — Actual Match Statistics
Aarau and Vaduz shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Aarau at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Aarau had 53% of the ball to Vaduz's 47%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 1.60 to 2.13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aarau had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Aarau and 1.00 for Vaduz.
What was the final score of Aarau vs Vaduz?
Aarau 2-2 Vaduz in the Switzerland Challenge League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aarau vs Vaduz?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Aarau 46%, draw 29%, Vaduz 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aarau), Under 2.5 went the other way.