Bellinzona 2-1 Stade Nyonnais — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
35%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.21
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.4
6+ Goals
10%
13.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-7.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+9.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bellinzona EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Nyonnais EU Bookmakers 29%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.25/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.40
-17% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
20.0 Crosses 14.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bellinzona
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Stade Nyonnais
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.34 xG 2.08
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
311 Passes 327
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.03.2025 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 3-0 HT 2-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
30.11.2024 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-1 HT 0-0 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
26.07.2024 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 2-1 HT 0-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
09.05.2024 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 1-3 HT 1-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
09.03.2024 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-2 HT 0-1 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
27.10.2023 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 2-3 HT 0-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bellinzona
2-1
AWAY Stade Nyonnais
1.49 xG 0.47
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
339 Passes 285
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bellinzona vs Stade Nyonnais
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bellinzona squeezed past Stade Nyonnais 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 35% — and on the day Bellinzona made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Bellinzona had 53% of the ball to Stade Nyonnais's 47%, shots finished 12-4, expected goals 1.49 to 0.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stade Nyonnais led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bellinzona and 1.83 for Stade Nyonnais.

What was the final score of Bellinzona vs Stade Nyonnais?

Bellinzona 2-1 Stade Nyonnais in the Switzerland Challenge League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bellinzona vs Stade Nyonnais?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bellinzona win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bellinzona 40%, draw 24%, Stade Nyonnais 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bellinzona) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bellinzona) ✗ BTTS No
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