Breidablik 5-0 Fjölnir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
61%
1.18
Draw
20%
7.13
Away
19%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
Over
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
39%
4-5
29%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Breidablik win — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
80%
-18.9pp
20%
Draw
11%
+8.7pp
19%
Away Win
8%
+10.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Breidablik EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Fjölnir EU Bookmakers 11%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
2.39/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.21/2.21
-36% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -83% / +51%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
485 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Breidablik
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Fjölnir
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
19.04.2023 Fjölnir Fjölnir 0-2 HT 0-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZK
01.03.2022 Breidablik Breidablik 4-2 HT 1-2 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZLK
05.03.2021 Fjölnir Fjölnir 1-3 HT 0-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZLK
05.09.2020 Fjölnir Fjölnir 1-4 HT 0-2 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
29.06.2020 Breidablik Breidablik 3-1 HT 1-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL
23.09.2018 Fjölnir Fjölnir 0-2 HT 0-2 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Breidablik
5-0
AWAY Fjölnir
74% Ball Possession 26%
12 Total Shots 2
8 Shots on Target 1
20 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Breidablik vs Fjölnir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Breidablik ran out comfortable winners over Fjölnir 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Breidablik as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Breidablik had 74% of the ball to Fjölnir's 26%, shots finished 12-2.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Breidablik had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Breidablik and 0.83 for Fjölnir.

What was the final score of Breidablik vs Fjölnir?

Breidablik 5-0 Fjölnir in the Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Breidablik vs Fjölnir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Breidablik 61%, draw 20%, Fjölnir 19%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Breidablik), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Breidablik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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