Stjarnan 5-3 Njardvik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
33%
4.58
Over Pick
67%
1.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.53
No
38%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
16%
2-3
37%
4-5
29%
6+
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
59%
-4.5pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.2pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.8pp
33%
Under 2.5
18%
+14.3pp
67%
Over 2.5
82%
-14.3pp
62%
BTTS Yes
61%
+0.5pp
38%
BTTS No
39%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Njardvik EU Bookmakers 23%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
2.20/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/0.49
-9% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -72% / +150%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
437 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stjarnan
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Njardvik
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
05.03.2024 Stjarnan Stjarnan 1-1 HT 0-0 Njardvik Njardvik İZLK
25.02.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 3-1 HT 0-0 Njardvik Njardvik İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stjarnan
5-3
AWAY Njardvik
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 24
6 Shots on Target 6
12 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Stjarnan vs Njardvik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stjarnan saw off Njardvik 5-3. Half-time: 2-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Stjarnan as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Stjarnan had 56% of the ball to Njardvik's 44%, shots finished 10-24.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Stjarnan had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Stjarnan and 1.00 for Njardvik.

What was the final score of Stjarnan vs Njardvik?

Stjarnan 5-3 Njardvik in the Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stjarnan vs Njardvik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stjarnan win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Stjarnan 55%, draw 20%, Njardvik 25%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stjarnan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stjarnan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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