UMF Selfoss vs Haukar Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
UMF Selfoss v Haukar — Team-Based Signals
UMF Selfoss vs Haukar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
UMF Selfoss
İZL1
0-1
HT 0-1
Haukar
İZL1
1-1
HT 0-0
UMF Selfoss
İZL1
0-2
HT 0-0
Haukar
İZL1
2-3
HT 1-2
UMF Selfoss
İZLK
2-3
HT 1-2
UMF Selfoss
İZL
UMF Selfoss swept aside Haukar 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day UMF Selfoss made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (63%) missed.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haukar led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for UMF Selfoss and 1.83 for Haukar.
What was the final score of UMF Selfoss vs Haukar?
UMF Selfoss 4-0 Haukar in the Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for UMF Selfoss vs Haukar?
Before kick-off our model rated a UMF Selfoss win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split UMF Selfoss 36%, draw 28%, Haukar 36%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.