18/04/2025
·
20:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
4-0
2nd Score
3-0
KA Akureyri vs KFA Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
32%
Over Pick
68%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
16%
2-3
31%
4-5
32%
6+
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
50%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
5%
X/X
4%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 68% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
85%
17%
Draw
9%
16%
Away Win
6%
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
50%
BTTS No
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
KA Akureyri v KFA — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
KA Akureyri
EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY
KFA
EU Bookmakers 9%
+7% /
+7%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-17% /
-17%
3.05/0.65
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/4.00
-19%
/
+81%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-7%
/
-10%
60%
Ball Possession
40%
15
Total Shots
7
7
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
4
528 · 88%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
273 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.0
POST-MATCH
KA Akureyri vs KFA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
KA Akureyri cruised past KFA 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had KA Akureyri as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of KA Akureyri vs KFA?
KA Akureyri 4-0 KFA in the Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for KA Akureyri vs KFA?
Before kick-off our model rated a KA Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split KA Akureyri 67%, draw 17%, KFA 16%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KA Akureyri), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (KA Akureyri)
✓ Over 2.5
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İZK
More Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup
18 Apr 2025