Lommel United 1-2 La Louvière — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.09
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
60%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.89
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
2.97
6+ Goals
8%
9.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
40%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
16%
+2.4pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.2pp
60%
Away Win
63%
-2.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.7pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lommel United EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY La Louvière EU Bookmakers 67%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
0.43/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.50/0.26
-41% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% /
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
236 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 80%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.1
11.3 Crosses 16.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lommel United
1W-0D-1L
AWAY La Louvière
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.48 xG 3.29
61% Ball Possession 39%
7 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
349 Passes 192
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
15 Box Touches 33
13 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2024 La Louvière La Louvière 5-1 HT 2-1 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
24.09.2022 Lommel United Lommel United 2-0 HT 0-0 La Louvière La Louvière BEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lommel United
1-2
AWAY La Louvière
0.84 xG 1.44
67% Ball Possession 33%
6 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
447 Passes 172
83% Pass Accuracy 68%
10 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lommel United vs La Louvière
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Louvière squeezed past Lommel United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had La Louvière as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Lommel United had 67% of the ball to La Louvière's 33%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 0.84 to 1.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lommel United and 2.50 for La Louvière.

What was the final score of Lommel United vs La Louvière?

Lommel United 1-2 La Louvière in the Belgium - 1st Division on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lommel United vs La Louvière?

Before kick-off our model rated an La Louvière win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Lommel United 19%, draw 21%, La Louvière 60%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (La Louvière), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (La Louvière) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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