Vukovar 3-0 Dugopolje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
13%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
1.82
Over
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No Pick
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
39%
4-5
23%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
67%
-6.2pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.0pp
13%
Away Win
12%
+0.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.0pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vukovar EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Dugopolje EU Bookmakers 15%
-9% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.78/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/2.44
+8% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -32%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
387 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vukovar
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Dugopolje
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
09.11.2024 Vukovar Vukovar 5-0 HT 3-0 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
31.08.2024 Dugopolje Dugopolje 0-1 HT 0-1 Vukovar Vukovar HIR2
20.04.2024 Vukovar Vukovar 1-1 HT 1-0 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
02.12.2023 Dugopolje Dugopolje 1-2 HT 0-2 Vukovar Vukovar HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vukovar
3-0
AWAY Dugopolje
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vukovar vs Dugopolje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vukovar swept aside Dugopolje 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vukovar as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Vukovar had 50% of the ball to Dugopolje's 50%, shots finished 15-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Vukovar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Vukovar and 0.50 for Dugopolje.

What was the final score of Vukovar vs Dugopolje?

Vukovar 3-0 Dugopolje in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vukovar vs Dugopolje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vukovar win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Vukovar 60%, draw 27%, Dugopolje 13%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vukovar), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vukovar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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