Lietava Jonava 1-2 Babrungas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.8
Draw
33%
3.72
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.0
Over 2.5
57%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.68
No
37%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
15%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
32%
-7.1pp
33%
Draw
23%
+9.9pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-2.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.7pp
63%
BTTS Yes
56%
+7.1pp
37%
BTTS No
44%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lietava Jonava EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Babrungas EU Bookmakers 49%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.00/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/1.16
-100% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lietava Jonava
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Babrungas
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.10.2023 Babrungas Babrungas 2-1 HT 1-1 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava LIT1
27.05.2023 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava 3-2 HT 0-0 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
POST-MATCH Lietava Jonava vs Babrungas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Babrungas nicked a narrow win over Lietava Jonava 2-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Babrungas as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lietava Jonava and 2.00 for Babrungas.

What was the final score of Lietava Jonava vs Babrungas?

Lietava Jonava 1-2 Babrungas in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lietava Jonava vs Babrungas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Babrungas win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lietava Jonava 25%, draw 33%, Babrungas 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Babrungas), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Babrungas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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