Nevezis 1-4 Zalgiris II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.71
Over 2.5
58%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
55%
-12.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
45%
+12.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.2pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nevezis EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.31/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.42
-16% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
386 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nevezis
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Zalgiris II
4.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.08.2023 Nevezis Nevezis 4-1 HT 2-0 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II LIT1
14.04.2023 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II 1-4 HT 0-2 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
08.10.2022 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II 2-3 HT 0-1 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
02.06.2022 Nevezis Nevezis 7-1 HT 4-0 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II LIT1
POST-MATCH Nevezis vs Zalgiris II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris II swept aside Nevezis 4-1 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Nevezis at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nevezis had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 4.50 goals for Nevezis and 1.25 for Zalgiris II.

What was the final score of Nevezis vs Zalgiris II?

Nevezis 1-4 Zalgiris II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nevezis vs Zalgiris II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nevezis win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Nevezis 44%, draw 27%, Zalgiris II 29%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nevezis) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nevezis) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LIT1 More Lithuania - 1st Division
18 Apr 2025
18:00 Kauno Zalgiris II vs Hegelmann II Analysis →
18:30 Lietava Jonava vs Babrungas Analysis →
19:00 Ekranas vs FA Siauliai II Analysis →
19:00 Neptüna Klaipeda vs Be1 NFA Analysis →
20:00 BFA vs Panevezys II Analysis →