BFA 2-2 Panevezys II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
69%
-10.6pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.1pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BFA EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Panevezys II EU Bookmakers 16%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +10%
1.82/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/2.61
-18% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +87% / -20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BFA
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Panevezys II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
19.10.2024 Panevezys II Panevezys II 1-1 BFA BFA LIT1
02.06.2024 BFA BFA 3-3 HT 2-2 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
31.07.2023 Panevezys II Panevezys II 1-1 HT 1-0 BFA BFA LIT1
11.03.2023 BFA BFA 3-1 HT 1-0 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
05.08.2022 Panevezys II Panevezys II 3-2 HT 2-1 BFA BFA LIT1
27.03.2022 BFA BFA 2-2 HT 1-1 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BFA
2-2
AWAY Panevezys II
65% Ball Possession 35%
22 Total Shots 3
10 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH BFA vs Panevezys II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BFA and Panevezys II couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

This one beat our numbers. BFA carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, BFA had 65% of the ball to Panevezys II's 35%, shots finished 22-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for BFA and 1.83 for Panevezys II.

What was the final score of BFA vs Panevezys II?

BFA 2-2 Panevezys II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BFA vs Panevezys II?

Before kick-off our model rated a BFA win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split BFA 58%, draw 23%, Panevezys II 19%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (BFA), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BFA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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