Kauno Zalgiris II 2-0 Hegelmann II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
33%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+7.0pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.5pp
33%
Away Win
43%
-10.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.3pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann II EU Bookmakers 48%
+12% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +47% / +47%
1.76/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
+24% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
230 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Hegelmann II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2024 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 0-2 Hegelmann II LIT1
29.04.2024 Hegelmann II 0-3 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
2-0
AWAY Hegelmann II
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris II vs Hegelmann II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris II saw off Hegelmann II 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kauno Zalgiris II as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris II had 49% of the ball to Hegelmann II's 51%, shots finished 14-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kauno Zalgiris II and 1.00 for Hegelmann II.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris II vs Hegelmann II?

Kauno Zalgiris II 2-0 Hegelmann II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris II vs Hegelmann II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris II 41%, draw 26%, Hegelmann II 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris II) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris II) ✗ BTTS Yes
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