Caracas FC 1-4 Monagas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-4.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.6pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Monagas EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
1.14/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.37
-30% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
15.8 Crosses 18.0
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caracas FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Monagas
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.57 xG 0.73
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
214 Passes 261
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.09.2024 Caracas FC Caracas FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
25.03.2024 Monagas Monagas 1-1 HT 1-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
28.01.2024 Monagas Monagas 2-3 HT 0-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC HAZ
25.06.2023 Caracas FC Caracas FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
21.05.2023 Monagas Monagas 0-2 HT 0-2 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
23.07.2022 Monagas Monagas 0-0 HT 0-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caracas FC
1-4
AWAY Monagas
1.38 xG 1.91
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
416 Passes 217
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
35 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Caracas FC vs Monagas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monagas ran out comfortable winners over Caracas FC 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Monagas found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Caracas FC had 64% of the ball to Monagas's 36%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.38 to 1.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caracas FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Caracas FC and 0.83 for Monagas.

What was the final score of Caracas FC vs Monagas?

Caracas FC 1-4 Monagas in the Venezuela - Premier League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caracas FC vs Monagas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Monagas win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Caracas FC 34%, draw 30%, Monagas 37%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monagas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monagas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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