Scarborough Athletic vs Merthyr Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Scarborough Athletic v Merthyr Town — Team-Based Signals
Scarborough Athletic vs Merthyr Town Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Scarborough Athletic 2-1 Merthyr Town — Actual Match Statistics
Scarborough Athletic edged past Merthyr Town 2-1. From 0-1 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.
As we said in the preview, our model had Scarborough Athletic as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (61%) came home.
Under the surface, Scarborough Athletic had 62% of the ball to Merthyr Town's 38%, shots finished 15-8.
Scarborough Athletic vs Merthyr Town Result & Final Score
Scarborough Athletic 2 - 1 Merthyr Town in the England - Conference on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Scarborough Athletic vs Merthyr Town Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Scarborough Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Scarborough Athletic 50%, draw 24%, Merthyr Town 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Scarborough Athletic), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.