Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Atletico Madrid v Real Sociedad — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Atletico Madrid 2-2 Real Sociedad — Actual Match Statistics
a 2-2 draw left Atletico Madrid and Real Sociedad with a point apiece. Half-time: 1-2.
Our pre-match lean was Atletico Madrid at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Atletico Madrid had 63% of the ball to Real Sociedad's 37%, shots finished 19-15, expected goals 1.67 to 1.48.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Atletico Madrid and 0.83 for Real Sociedad.
Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad Result & Final Score
Atletico Madrid 2 - 2 Real Sociedad in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid 52%, draw 25%, Real Sociedad 23%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atletico Madrid) went the other way.