Ulm 1846 2-1 Havelse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.43
Over 2.5
56%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.96
2-3 Goals
41%
1.93
4-5 Goals
26%
2.63
6+ Goals
13%
6.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.01
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.05
X/1
16%
4.37
X/2
8%
10.1
X/X
12%
6.48
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
19.2
2/2
10%
7.16
2/X
5%
15.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.2 — our 8% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-5.1pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.7pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+2.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.9pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulm 1846 EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Havelse EU Bookmakers 24%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.97/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/2.08
+51% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
394 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses 13.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulm 1846
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Havelse
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
67% Ball Possession 33%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
391 Passes 143
78% Pass Accuracy 58%
21 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 4
22.11.2025 Havelse Havelse 2-1 HT 1-0 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulm 1846
2-1
AWAY Havelse
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Ulm 1846 vs Havelse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulm 1846 nicked a narrow win over Havelse 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ulm 1846 as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Ulm 1846 had 53% of the ball to Havelse's 47%, shots finished 17-13.

What was the final score of Ulm 1846 vs Havelse?

Ulm 1846 2-1 Havelse in the Germany - 3rd Division on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulm 1846 vs Havelse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulm 1846 win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Ulm 1846 52%, draw 24%, Havelse 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulm 1846), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ulm 1846) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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