Ingolstadt 0-1 Osnabrück — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
45%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.92
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
2.97
6+ Goals
13%
9.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.98
1/2
7%
22.25
1/X
8%
13.35
X/1
10%
7.26
X/2
10%
4.89
X/X
11%
5.26
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
28%
2.71
2/X
7%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
-0.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
45%
Away Win
46%
-1.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.5pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Osnabrück EU Bookmakers 50%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +24%
1.33/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/1.06
+1% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
242 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
22.2 Crosses 20.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ingolstadt
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Osnabrück
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.34 xG 1.42
46% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
277 Passes 318
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.11.2025 Osnabrück Osnabrück 1-0 HT 0-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
19.04.2025 Osnabrück Osnabrück 1-0 HT 1-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
24.11.2024 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 4-2 HT 2-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
12.02.2023 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-4 HT 1-3 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
10.08.2022 Osnabrück Osnabrück 0-1 HT 0-1 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
30.05.2021 Osnabrück Osnabrück 3-1 HT 2-1 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL2P
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ingolstadt
0-1
AWAY Osnabrück
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 10
405 Passes 338
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ingolstadt vs Osnabrück
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osnabrück nicked a narrow win over Ingolstadt 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Osnabrück as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ingolstadt had 52% of the ball to Osnabrück's 48%, shots finished 8-20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osnabrück led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ingolstadt and 1.83 for Osnabrück.

What was the final score of Ingolstadt vs Osnabrück?

Ingolstadt 0-1 Osnabrück in the Germany - 3rd Division on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ingolstadt vs Osnabrück?

Before kick-off our model rated an Osnabrück win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ingolstadt 29%, draw 26%, Osnabrück 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Osnabrück) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Osnabrück) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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