Altona Magic 2-4 Dandenong Thunder — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒11:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-2.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.9pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altona Magic EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Dandenong Thunder EU Bookmakers 43%
-7% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
0.73/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.52
-53% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
356 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.8 Crosses 13.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altona Magic
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Dandenong Thunder
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.06.2025 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 6-0 HT 3-0 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
01.03.2025 Altona Magic Altona Magic 0-1 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
08.06.2024 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 0-4 HT 0-1 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
02.03.2024 Altona Magic Altona Magic 2-3 HT 2-1 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
01.07.2023 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 0-3 HT 0-2 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
01.04.2023 Altona Magic Altona Magic 3-2 HT 1-1 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
POST-MATCH Altona Magic vs Dandenong Thunder
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dandenong Thunder beat Altona Magic 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Dandenong Thunder found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Altona Magic and 2.00 for Dandenong Thunder.

What was the final score of Altona Magic vs Dandenong Thunder?

Altona Magic 2-4 Dandenong Thunder in the Australia - National Premier League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altona Magic vs Dandenong Thunder?

Before kick-off our model rated a Altona Magic win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Altona Magic 37%, draw 25%, Dandenong Thunder 37%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/25/37) ✗ BTTS No
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