Neman Grodno 3-1 Naftan Novopolotsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
66%
1.34
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
13%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.8
Over
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.4
No
54%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.86
2-3
40%
1.71
4-5
20%
3.63
6+
9%
15.75
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.86 — our 31% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
3%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neman Grodno The Market 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Naftan Novopolotsk The Market 14%
-7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -12%
1.77/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/2.15
-16% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
427 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 175 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neman Grodno
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Naftan Novopolotsk
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2025 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 1-0 HT 0-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
20.05.2025 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 1-3 HT 1-3 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
25.09.2024 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
16.03.2024 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 2-1 HT 1-1 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
02.12.2023 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 6-1 HT 1-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
07.07.2023 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 0-3 HT 0-1 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neman Grodno
3-1
AWAY Naftan Novopolotsk
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Neman Grodno vs Naftan Novopolotsk
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Neman Grodno got the better of Naftan Novopolotsk 3-1. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Neman Grodno as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 46%. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-no price stood at 1.50, roughly 67%.

On the day, possession split 59% to 41% in Neman Grodno's favour, shots finished 16-8.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neman Grodno had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.50 a game for Neman Grodno against 0.50 for Naftan Novopolotsk.

Neman Grodno vs Naftan Novopolotsk Result & Final Score

Neman Grodno 3-1 Naftan Novopolotsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Neman Grodno vs Naftan Novopolotsk Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Neman Grodno win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Neman Grodno 66%, draw 21%, Naftan Novopolotsk 13%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neman Grodno) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neman Grodno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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