Ekranas 1-3 Hegelmann II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
53%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.86
Over
51%
1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.97
No
49%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
39%
4-5
24%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Ekranas The Market 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann II The Market 20%
Strong Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
2.47 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.47
0.97 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.75
Great Attackvs comparable teams Great
Average Defensevs comparable teams Average
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ekranas
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Hegelmann II
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
44% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.08.2025 Hegelmann II Hegelmann II 4-1 HT 3-0 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
30.03.2025 Ekranas Ekranas 1-2 Hegelmann II Hegelmann II LIT1
04.10.2024 Hegelmann II Hegelmann II 0-2 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
19.05.2024 Ekranas Ekranas 3-1 HT 1-0 Hegelmann II Hegelmann II LIT1
REVIEW Ekranas vs Hegelmann II
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Hegelmann II had too much for Ekranas 3-1 away from home. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

Our pre-match lean was Ekranas at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The market had leaned harder still (1.53, ~65%); nobody's numbers saw this one coming.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 51% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring. The market went further still — the BTTS-no price closed at 1.74, about 57%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.75 a game for Ekranas against 1.75 for Hegelmann II.

Ekranas vs Hegelmann II Result & Final Score

Ekranas 1-3 Hegelmann II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Ekranas vs Hegelmann II Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Ekranas win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Ekranas 53%, draw 25%, Hegelmann II 22%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ekranas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ekranas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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