Panaitolikos 2-3 Panserraikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
20%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.56
Over 2.5
36%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
40%
2.33
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
15%
4.52
6+ Goals
7%
25.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.33 — our 40% vs market 34.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.53
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.0
X/1 EV+ ✗
25%
4.23
X/2
7%
8.42
X/X
16%
3.89
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
7%
7.3
2/X
7%
15.55
Value flag · X/1 at 4.23 — our 25% vs market 18.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+1.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
20%
Away Win
22%
-1.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
60%
+3.7pp
36%
Over 2.5
40%
-3.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.7pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panaitolikos EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 25%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.54/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.88
-5% / +116% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
20.7 Crosses 13.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panaitolikos
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Panserraikos
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.30 xG 1.15
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
358 Passes 352
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.03.2026 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 0-0 HT 0-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
08.12.2025 Panserraikos Panserraikos 0-1 HT 0-1 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
22.05.2025 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 1-0 HT 1-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
23.04.2025 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-1 HT 1-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
22.12.2024 Panserraikos Panserraikos 0-0 HT 0-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
31.08.2024 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 3-0 HT 1-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panaitolikos
2-3
AWAY Panserraikos
1.01 xG 1.80
70% Ball Possession 30%
11 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 0
496 Passes 186
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 3
POST-MATCH Panaitolikos vs Panserraikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panserraikos squeezed past Panaitolikos 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Panaitolikos at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Panaitolikos had 70% of the ball to Panserraikos's 30%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 1.01 to 1.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panaitolikos had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Panaitolikos and 0.17 for Panserraikos.

What was the final score of Panaitolikos vs Panserraikos?

Panaitolikos 2-3 Panserraikos in the Greece - Super League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panaitolikos vs Panserraikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panaitolikos win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Panaitolikos 51%, draw 29%, Panserraikos 20%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Panaitolikos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
YUN More Greece - Super League
18 Apr 2026
16:00 Kifisia vs Asteras Tripolis Analysis →
17:00 Atromitos vs AE Larissa Analysis →
18:00 OFI vs Levadiakos Analysis →
19:00 Aris Saloniki vs Volos NFC Analysis →