Atromitos 3-2 AE Larissa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.45
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
4.28
6+ Goals
9%
22.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.2
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
8%
15.05
X/1
18%
3.98
X/2
7%
9.92
X/X
13%
4.22
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
4%
8.85
2/X
6%
17.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-1.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
18%
Away Win
18%
+0.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.3pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atromitos EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY AE Larissa EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.27/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.38
-23% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -15%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 77%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
21.8 Crosses 18.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atromitos
2W-3D-1L
AWAY AE Larissa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.96 xG 0.52
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
405 Passes 212
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
21.12.2025 AE Larissa AE Larissa 0-0 HT 0-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
03.12.2025 AE Larissa AE Larissa 0-1 HT 0-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUK
29.09.2025 Atromitos Atromitos 1-1 HT 1-0 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
16.01.2024 Atromitos Atromitos 4-0 HT 1-0 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUK
06.12.2023 AE Larissa AE Larissa 1-1 HT 0-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUK
10.04.2021 Atromitos Atromitos 0-1 HT 0-1 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atromitos
3-2
AWAY AE Larissa
1.80 xG 1.65
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
346 Passes 338
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 35
8 Crosses 33
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atromitos vs AE Larissa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atromitos squeezed past AE Larissa 3-2. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atromitos as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atromitos had 49% of the ball to AE Larissa's 51%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 1.80 to 1.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atromitos had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atromitos and 0.50 for AE Larissa.

What was the final score of Atromitos vs AE Larissa?

Atromitos 3-2 AE Larissa in the Greece - Super League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atromitos vs AE Larissa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atromitos win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Atromitos 54%, draw 27%, AE Larissa 18%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atromitos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atromitos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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