Aris Saloniki 3-2 Volos NFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.68
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
3.86
6+ Goals
10%
18.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 32% vs market 29.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.09
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
15.15
X/1
11%
3.97
X/2
6%
10.4
X/X
11%
4.6
2/1
14%
26.0
2/2
10%
9.11
2/X
5%
17.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-1.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.9pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Volos NFC EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.60/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.41
-16% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
21.3 Crosses 15.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aris Saloniki
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Volos NFC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.17 xG 0.77
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
375 Passes 283
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
14.02.2026 Volos NFC Volos NFC 1-1 HT 0-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
23.08.2025 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 2-0 HT 0-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
01.03.2025 Volos NFC Volos NFC 1-1 HT 0-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
23.11.2024 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 0-1 HT 0-1 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
25.02.2024 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 2-0 HT 1-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
11.11.2023 Volos NFC Volos NFC 0-2 HT 0-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aris Saloniki
3-2
AWAY Volos NFC
2.05 xG 0.47
56% Ball Possession 44%
22 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
285 Passes 203
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 11
30 Crosses 18
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Aris Saloniki vs Volos NFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aris Saloniki edged past Volos NFC 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aris Saloniki as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aris Saloniki had 56% of the ball to Volos NFC's 44%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 2.05 to 0.47 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Aris Saloniki's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aris Saloniki had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Aris Saloniki and 0.50 for Volos NFC.

What was the final score of Aris Saloniki vs Volos NFC?

Aris Saloniki 3-2 Volos NFC in the Greece - Super League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aris Saloniki vs Volos NFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aris Saloniki win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Aris Saloniki 56%, draw 23%, Volos NFC 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aris Saloniki) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aris Saloniki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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