Central Coast Mariners 0-0 Sydney — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒12:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
1.95
Over 2.5
60%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.66
No
41%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
28%
3.37
6+ Goals
12%
12.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
3.04
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
31.5
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
10%
4.82
X/2
7%
6.32
X/X
12%
4.96
2/1
6%
24.85
2/2
15%
4.42
2/X
7%
13.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 31.5 — our 8% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.0pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
48%
-7.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
52%
+7.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.9pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Coast Mariners EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.80/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.66
+8% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.2
18.0 Crosses 17.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Coast Mariners
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sydney
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.67 xG 1.60
46% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
340 Passes 421
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
10.05.2024 Sydney Sydney 1-2 HT 1-1 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
30.03.2024 Sydney Sydney 2-0 HT 0-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
10.02.2024 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 1-3 HT 0-3 Sydney Sydney AVUS
13.08.2023 Sydney Sydney 3-3 HT 1-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUK
04.02.2023 Sydney Sydney 3-2 HT 1-2 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
17.12.2022 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 2-1 HT 2-1 Sydney Sydney AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Coast Mariners
0-0
AWAY Sydney
0.81 xG 1.17
30% Ball Possession 70%
7 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
184 Passes 568
65% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 32
11 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Central Coast Mariners vs Sydney
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Coast Mariners and Sydney fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Central Coast Mariners at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Central Coast Mariners had 30% of the ball to Sydney's 70%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 0.81 to 1.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sydney led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Central Coast Mariners and 2.17 for Sydney.

What was the final score of Central Coast Mariners vs Sydney?

Central Coast Mariners 0-0 Sydney in the Australia - A-League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Coast Mariners vs Sydney?

Before kick-off our model rated a Central Coast Mariners win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Central Coast Mariners 44%, draw 25%, Sydney 30%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Central Coast Mariners) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVUS More Australia - A-League
18 May 2024
09:30 Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Analysis →